|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]毕树柏,宫本福.基于博弈论的轨道交通建设项目安全投入与监管行为分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(4):20-24.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.04.003]
 BI Shubai,GONG Benfu.Analysis on safety investment and supervision behavior of rail transit construction project based on game theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(4):20-24.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.04.003]
点击复制

基于博弈论的轨道交通建设项目安全投入与监管行为分析
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
14
期数:
2018年4期
页码:
20-24
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2018-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Analysis on safety investment and supervision behavior of rail transit construction project based on game theory
文章编号:
1673-193X(2018)-04-0020-05
作者:
毕树柏1宫本福2
(1.中国安全生产科学研究院,北京 100012;2.北京市轨道交通建设管理有限公司,北京 100071)
Author(s):
BI Shubai1 GONG Benfu2
(1.China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing 100012, China;2.Beijing MTR Construction Administration Corporation, Beijing 100071, China)
关键词:
轨道交通建设博弈论安全投入安全监管
Keywords:
rail transit construction game theory safety investment safety supervision
分类号:
X915.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.04.003
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
研究在轨道交通施工中如何采取合理安全投入和安全监管等手段加强建设项目管理水平,通过博弈论的相关理论和分析方法,剖析轨道交通建设施工企业自身的安全投入行为与安全监管部门的监管行为之间的关系,并以某企业为例进行具体说明。研究结果表明:轨道交通建设项目的安全监管稳定状态与施工企业的安全投入、事故后企业损失、监管部门执行安全监管的成本、企业违规受到的处罚力度以及监管部门由于失职受到的处罚等因素有关,其中,随着监管部门对安全监管投入的增加以及对施工企业违规处罚力度的加强,监管部门将获得更高的收益,而施工企业按照规定进行安全投入的概率也将进一步加大。研究为监管部门制定相关安全监管策略时提供支持和参考。
Abstract:
In order to study the problem that how to strengthen the management level of construction projects by adopting the reasonable safety investment and safety supervision in the construction of rail transit, the relationship between the self safety investment behavior of the construction enterprise of rail transit and the supervision behavior of the safety supervision department was analyzed through the relevant theory and analysis methods of game theory, and the detailed description was presented by taking a certain enterprise as an example. The results showed that the stable state of safety supervision on the construction project of rail transit was related to the factors such as the safety investment of construction enterprise, the accident loss of enterprise, the cost of safety supervision by the supervision department, the punishment of violation received by the enterprise, the punishment on the supervision department because of delinquency, etc. Among which, the supervision department would obtain higher benefit with the increase of the safety supervision investment and the punishment on the violation of construction enterprise by the supervision department, and the probability of carrying out the safety investment according to the regulations by the construction enterprise would be further increased. The results can provide the support and reference for the supervision department to formulate the relevant strategies of safety supervision.

参考文献/References:

[1]中国城市轨道交通网.我国城轨交通迎来大发展 ,31个城市开通城市轨道交通,总里程近4000公里[EB/OL].(2017-11-27)[2018-04-24].http://www.chinametro.net/index.php?m=newscon&id=410&aid=42504.
[2]北京市人民政府.全市将形成“三环四横八纵十二放射”轨道交通网 总里程超900公里[EB/OL].(2017-03-25)[2018-01-10].http://www.beijing.gov.cn/bmfw/zxts/t1472187.htm.
[3]新浪网.上海轨道交通4号线事故直接经济损失达1.5亿元[EB/OL].(2003-09-20)[2018-01-10].http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2003-09-20/2209788546s.shtml.
[4]侯艳娟, 张顶立, 李鹏飞.北京地铁施工安全事故分析及防治对策[J].北京交通大学学报, 2009, 33(3):52-59. HOU Yanjuan,ZHANG Dingli,LI Pengfei.Analysis of safety accident in Beijing subway construction and its prevention and control measures[J].Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University,2009,33(3):52-59.
[5]杭州网. 关于杭州地铁湘湖站“11·15”坍塌重大事故调查处理结果的通报[EB/OL].(2010-02-09)[2018-01-10].http://ori.hangzhou.com.cn/ornews/content/2010-02/09/content_3050073.htm.
[6]黄涛.博弈论教程:理论·应用[M].北京:首都经济贸易大学出版社, 2004.
[7]王永刚, 江涛.基于进化博弈论的不完全信息状况下的民航安全监管研究[J].安全与环境学报, 2014, 14(1):61-64. WANG Yonggang,JIANG Tao.On civil aviation supervision based on evolutionary game theory in absence of enough information[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2014,14(1):61-64.
[8]张飞涟, 刘力, 董武洲,等.博弈论在建设项目安全管理中的应用[J].系统工程, 2002, 20(6):33-37. ZHANG Feilian,LIU Li,DONG Wuzhou,et al.The application of game theory in project safety management[J].Systems Engineering,2002,20(6):33-37.
[9]程敏, 陈辉.基于演化博弈的建筑工程安全监管研究[J].运筹与管理, 2011(6):210-215. CHENG Min,CHEN Hui.Research on construction safety supervision based on evolutionary game theory[J].Operations Research and Manacement Science,2011(6):210-215.

相似文献/References:

[1]李健,王雅洁,吴军,等.零星危险化学品快递运输风险博弈分[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(3):108.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.020]
 LI Jian,WANG Yajie,WU Jun,et al.Game analysis on risk in express transportation of sporadic hazardous chemicals[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(4):108.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.020]
[2]黄建文,王东,廖再毅,等.基于组合赋权法和云理论的震后重建住宅工程质量评价研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(3):127.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.023]
 HUANG Jianwen,WANG Dong,LIAO Zaiyi,et al.Evaluation on engineering quality of post-earthquake reconstruction residential buildings based on combined weight method and cloud theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(4):127.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.023]
[3]陈国华,夏浩,高子文.化工园区应急避难点选址评估模型应用研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(8):61.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.08.010]
 CHEN Guohua,XIA Hao,GAO Ziwen.Research on application of evaluation model for emergency shelter location in chemical industrial park[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(4):61.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.08.010]
[4]昌伟伟,吴兵.博弈论在预防化工园区事故多米诺效应中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(12):162.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.025]
 CHANG Weiwei,WU Bing.Application of game theory in preventing domino effect of accidents in chemical industry park[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(4):162.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.025]
[5]郑云水,康毅军,牛行通.基于博弈论与可拓学的非正常接发列车人因风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(1):179.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.01.029]
 ZHENG Yunshui,KANG Yijun,NIU Xingtong.Evaluation on human factor risk of abnormal train reception and departure based on game theory and extenics[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(4):179.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.01.029]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
-
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-05-08