|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]邓军,王萌.地铁火灾监控技术发展的德尔菲预见性分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):77-80.
 Deng Jun,?Wang Meng.Delphi technology foresight analysis on development of the metro fire monitoring system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):77-80.
点击复制

地铁火灾监控技术发展的德尔菲预见性分析()
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
7
期数:
2011年5期
页码:
77-80
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2011-05-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Delphi technology foresight analysis on development of the metro fire monitoring system
文章编号:
1673-193X(2011)-05-0077-04
作者:
邓军12王萌123
1.西安科技大学能源学院,西安? 710054
2.西部矿井开采及灾害防治教育部重点实验室,西安? 710054
3.咸阳市公安消防支队,咸阳? 712000
Author(s):
Deng Jun12 ?Wang Meng123
1. Xi’an university of science and technology School of Energy Engineering, Xi An? 710054, China
2. Key Laboratory of Western Mine Exploitation and Hazard Prevention of Education Ministry, Xi An? 710054, China
3. Xian yang fire bridge of public security, Xian yang? 712000, China
关键词:
地铁火灾监控系统德尔菲调查技术预见
Keywords:
The Tube Fire Monitoring System Delphi Survey Technology Foresight
分类号:
X951
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
通过分析地铁火灾监控系统的结构组成和技术组成的发展情况,总结当前地铁火灾监控系统应用领域的各项技术,并以这些技术作为德尔菲调查问卷的内容,按照德尔菲调查的要求设计调查问卷,联络本领域资深专家进行德尔菲调查,统计专家的反馈信息,将反馈信息定量转化为计算值,计算各技术课题指标评价值,定量分析每个技术领域内技术课题影响地铁火灾监控系统发展的重要程度、各技术领域的专家认同重要程度以及技术课题预计实现时间;最终通过重要程度与专家认同重要程度计算出的综合认同重要程度,总结分析出信息处理领域、探测领域、报警和网络通信领域是制约地铁火灾监控系统发展最主要的因素,提出各技术领域的技术大部分都预计在2010-2020年之间实现,其中实现最快的是探测领域内的技术课题。
Abstract:
This task has analysed the Development Of the structures and technologies of tube fire monitoring system and collected variously fields of technology which are using in the tube fire monitoning system at this present stage, and draw up Delphi questionnaire depand on these technologies according to the requst of Delphi and then , get in touch with relevance experts who are professional and elder in the field of the tube fire monitoring system to process Delphi Survey. After that, change the information into calculated value, statistik and figure out each index evaluation of estimate of all the technology, then quantitative analysis the materialitylevel of technologies which influence on The Tube Fire Monitoring System in each field of technology , the materialitylevel of self-identity of experts in each fields of technology, the target date for reaching the goals of each fields of technology. Finaly, the task works out the fields of information processing, detecting, alarming and networking are the most immpotant factors by using the materialitylevel of synthetical self-identity in the development of The Tube Fire Monitoring System which is calculated by the materialitylevel and the materialitylevel of self-identity of experts. Most of the technologies in each fields will come ture between 2010 to 2020, and the technologies in the field of detecting will come ture soon .

参考文献/References:

[1] 崔泽艳. 城市地铁火灾的特点及防护措施[J]. 城市与减灾. CUI ze-yan. Fire characteristics of urban subway and protection countermeasure[J]. City and Disaster Reduction, 2007,04 : 21~24.[2] 邓艳丽, 谭志光. 地铁火灾研究现状综述[J]. 安防科技,2008,1. DENG yan-li, TAN zhi-guang. The summerize of the situation of study about subway fire[J]. Security and Safety Technology Magazine, 2008, 1 : 6~8.[3] 成剑林, 邹声华. 地铁火灾模拟研究[J]. 安全与环境工程.CHENG jian-lin, ZOU sheng-hua. Simulation of Underground Fire[J]. Safety and Environmental Engineering, 2006, 13 (1) : 96~99.[4] 穆荣平, 任中保. 技术预见德尔菲调查中技术课题选择研究[J]. 科学学与科学技术管理, 2009, 07. MU rong-ping, REN zhong-bao. The Study on Topics Selection in the Delphi Survey of Technology Foresight[J]. Science of science and management of S.&T. 2009, 07.[5] 任中保. 基于技术预见德尔菲调查的优先发展技术课题遴选方法研究[J]. 科学学与科学技术管理, 2009, 11. REN zhong-bao. The Prior Topics Selection Methods Based on the Delphi Survey in Technolog Foresight[J]. Science of science and management of S.&T. 2009, 11.[6] 郭毓峰. 基于德尔菲法的我国石油安全度评价[J]. 商场现代化, 2009, 02. GUO yu-feng. Evaluate the reliability of petroleum by Fabian Delph[J]. Market Modernization,2009, 02.[7] 中国未来20年技术预见研究组. 中国未来20年技术预见[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2006. The researcch team of the technology foresight of china towards 2020. The technology foresight of china towards 2020[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2006.[8] 穆荣平, 任中保, 袁思达, 乔岩. 中国未来20年技术预见德尔菲调查方法研究[J]. 科研管理, 2006, 27(1): 1-7. MU rong-ping, REN zhong-bao, YUAN si-da, QIAO yan. The Study on Methodology of Delphi Survey of Technology Foresight of China towards 2020[J]. Science Research Management, 2006, 01.[9] 王锦贵, 王希光. 火灾自动报警系统的无线远程监控技术[J]. 武警学院报, 2005, 21(3): 21-22. WANG jin-gui, WANG xi-guang. Distance wireless monitoring techniques of fire alarm system[J]. Journal of The Chinese People’s Armed Police Force Academy, 2005, 03.[10] 陈峰. 日本第八次技术预见方法的创新[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2007, 8: 132-135. CHEN feng. The innovate of the eighth technology foresight in Japan[J]. Fourm on Science and Thechnology in China, 2007, 8: 132-135.

相似文献/References:

[1]史聪灵.地铁换乘车站客流疏运模拟及风险分析(1)-T型车站[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(4):11.
 SHI-Cong-ling.Simulation and risk analysis on passenger transportation of metro transfer station(1)-T-type station[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):11.
[2]王震,贺农农.西安地铁工程安全文化的建立[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):159.
 WANG Zhen,HE Nong-nong.Establishment of safety culture in Xi’an metro engineering[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):159.
[3]史聪灵,钟茂华,张岚,等.地铁换乘车站客流疏运模拟及风险分析(2)——单通道换乘车站[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(8):21.
 SHI Cong-ling,ZHONG Mao-hua,ZHANG Lan,et al.Simulation and risk Analysis on passenger transportation of metro transfer station(2)——Single passage transferring Station[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):21.
[4]马骏.扩孔型锚固技术在西安地铁工程中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(9):195.
 MA Jun.Anchor hole enlargement technology in Xi’an Subway Project[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):195.
[5]刘新军.西安地铁穿越地裂缝带支护结构设计研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(2):144.
 LIU Xin jun.Design of support structure of Xi’an metro through ground fissure[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):144.
[6]郭雩,何理,石杰红,等.地铁不同人群疏散行为特征调查问卷研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):183.
 GUO Yu,HE Li,SHI Jie hong,et al.Questionnaire research on the evacuation behavior characteristics of different crowds in subway[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):183.
[7]雷斌,曹振,张宁.西安地铁安全文化体系建设研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(6):221.
 LEI Bin,CAO Zhen,ZANG Ning.Study on system constructions of safety culture in Xi’an metro[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):221.
[8]史聪灵,钟茂华,汪良旗,等.地铁车站及隧道全尺寸火灾实验研究(2) ——区间隧道火灾[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(8):28.
 SHI Cong ling,ZHONG Mao hua,WANG Liang qi,et al.Investigation of fullscale burning experiments in metro station and tunnel (2) -interval tunnel fires[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):28.
[9]王垚,冯超.地铁车站深基坑围护桩优化及其数值分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(2):54.
 WAGN Yao,FENG Chao.Numerical analysis and optimization on supporting piles in deep foundation fit of metro station[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(5):54.
[10]吴刘远见,温晓虎,邱昭润,等.地铁施工盾构机开仓气体安全检测分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(2):132.
 WU Liu Yuan-jian,WEN Xiao-hu,QIU Zhao-run,et al.Metro construction shield machine unlocked the cells and gas test results of the study[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(5):132.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2011-01-28
作者简介:邓军,教授、博导。
基金项目:教育部创新团队项目(编号:IRT0856);陕西省“三秦学者”特聘教授岗位资助
更新日期/Last Update: