体育馆建筑内青年学生疏散预动作时间调查和分析-《中国安全生产科学技术》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Investigation and analysis on preevacuation time of young students in the gymnasium

作者:: 沈一洲¹; ²; 朱国庆¹; ²; 李欢欢¹; ²; 吴维华¹; ²; 1中国矿业大学安全工程学院，徐州 221008）(2中国矿业大学消防工程研究所，徐州 221008

Author(s):: SHEN Yizhou¹; ²; ZHU Guoqing¹; ²; LI Huanhuan¹; ²; WU Weihua¹; ²; 1Faculty of safety engineering, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China)(2Fire engineering institute, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China

Keywords:: personnel gender; evacuation premovement time; multinominal logistic regression; questionnaire survey

摘要:: 通过组织火灾应急疏散逃生演习、现场问卷调查等方式，统计了体育馆内人员的疏散预动作时间，进而建立多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归模型对该统计数据进行了研究。发现：男生选择疏散预动作时间为<30 s的可能性是女生的0886倍，选择疏散预动作时间为30-60 s的可能性是女生的2818倍。预测人员疏散预动作时间为<30 s、30-60 s、>60 s的概率，男生分别为1545%，7561%、894%，而女生分别为2414 %，3972 %、3614 %；研究结果表明：人员性别的不同对疏散预动作时间有一定的影响，在体育馆类建筑中，青少年人员疏散预动作时间基本上小于60 s。

Abstract:: Personnel premovement time in the gymnasium was studied by fire emergency evacuation drill and questionnaire survey. The Multinominal Logistic Regression Model was applied on analyzing survey data. The result showed that evacuation premovement time (<30 s) spended by male is 0603 times as long as one spended by female and evacuation premovement time (30 s60 s) spended by male is 2818 times longer than one spended by female. In public buildings represented by the stadium, the probability of male's evacuation premovement time (<30 s, 30 s60 s, >60 s) respectively is 1545 %, 7561 %, 894 % and the probability of female's evacuation premovement time (<30 s, 30 s60 s, >60 s) respectively is 2414 %, 3972 %, 3614%. It showed that different gender has a certain effect on preevacuation time. In public buildings represented by the gymnasium, young students premovement time is less than 60 s.